Thursday, May 7, 2026Vol. III · No. 127Subscribe
The Mining, Energy & Technology Wire
Oil & Gas · Analysis

Oil Majors Cash In as Iran Blockade Reshapes Global Energy Markets

Shell posts $6.9 billion quarterly profit as Iran naval blockade drives oil prices higher and gas costs top $4.50 per gallon. Meanwhile, private equity and African refiners scramble to fill supply gaps.

PhotographShell posts $6.9 billion quarterly profit as Iran naval blockade drives oil prices higher and gas costs top $4.50 per gallon. Meanwhile, private equity and African refiners scramble to fill supply gaps.

Oil giant Shell posted bumper profit of $6.92 billion through the first quarter as the Iran war sent fossil fuel prices soaring , the company reported Thursday. That beat the $6.1 billion median estimate of analysts compiled by Bloomberg, as surging oil and gas prices lifted profits to their highest level in two years .

The windfall comes as the US Department of Defense estimated that Iran had lost $4.8 billion in oil revenue from 13 April to 1 May due to the blockade, with a total of 31 tankers laden with 53 million barrels of Iranian oil being "stuck in the Gulf" . According to market data, WTI crude traded at $71.50 per barrel on Wednesday, up 0.6%, while Brent crude stood at $75.20 per barrel, up 0.5%.

But Shell's gains came with operational pain. Shell faced operational setbacks, including damage to one of its facilities in Qatar during the conflict and cyclone-related stoppages at one of its liquefied natural gas sites in Australia . Shell signalled that gas production in Qatar is expected to fall by at least 30% in the second quarter compared with the first three months of 2026 .

American Drivers Feel the Squeeze

While energy majors celebrate record earnings, U.S. consumers are paying the price at the pump. Gasoline prices across the U.S. surged to an average of $4.54 a gallon on Wednesday, the highest since July 2022, according to AAA data. The price of regular gas has jumped 52%, or $1.56 per gallon, since the start of the Iran war in late February .

MarketWatch spoke with electric vehicle owners who reported no regrets about their purchases. One driver told the outlet that with gas prices over $4.50 per gallon, switching to an EV feels like "money in the bank every week."

Global oil inventories are nearing their lowest point since 2018, raising concerns about a potential supply squeeze, according to a May 4 report by the investment bank. "As the oil tanks go dry, as we use up the last of the inventory, that's when the real crunch is going to start to hit," John Quigley, a senior fellow at the Kleinman Center for Energy Policy at the University of Pennsylvania, told CBS News Philadelphia .

Private Equity Bets Big on U.S. Shale

As global energy markets convulse, private equity is doubling down on American production. Diversified Energy Company and global investment firm Carlyle's Global Credit platform announced that they have entered into an agreement to acquire certain oil and natural gas properties, along with related assets located in the Anadarko Basin of Oklahoma from Camino Natural Resources for approximately $1.2 billion, subject to customary adjustments .

The Financial Times reported that the deal represents a novel financing structure. The acquisition builds on the strategic partnership between Diversified and Carlyle announced in 2025, which combines Carlyle's asset-backed finance capabilities with Diversified's operating expertise to invest in proved developed producing energy assets across the United States. This structure is designed to provide long-term, efficient financing aligned with the assets' production profile, while enabling scaled investment without reliance on traditional corporate financing or equity issuance .

The acquisition expands Diversified's existing Oklahoma footprint and adds roughly 300 MMcfed (about 51,000 boed) of production, along with approximately 1,478 Bcfe of proved reserves .

Angola Brings New Refining Capacity Online

In a bright spot for global fuel supply, the Cabinda oil refinery in Angola, the first that was built in the country since it gained independence from Portugal 50 years ago, has started shipping fuels to the domestic and international markets, in a relief to the fuel supply stress due to the Iran war .

OilPrice.com reported that the Cabinda refinery has the capacity to process 30,000 barrels per day (bpd) of crude and already ships diesel to the domestic market in Angola and naphtha and heavy fuel oil to international buyers, according to investment firm Gemcorp Capital, which owns 90% of the new refinery .

"The very core of the investment thesis for this refinery was energy security for Angola," Gemcorp's founder and CEO, Atanas Bostandjiev, told Bloomberg in an interview published on Thursday . The timing couldn't be better— the Cabinda refinery's current output could meet one tenth of Angola's demand, potentially easing the dependence on imported fuels, especially during the ongoing Middle East crisis .

Natural Gas Markets Hold Steady

While oil markets gyrate, natural gas showed relative stability. According to market data, Henry Hub natural gas traded at $3.25 per MMBtu on Wednesday, down 2.4%. Natural Gas Intel reported that futures traders braced early Thursday for a potentially bullish government inventory report.

On the LNG front, Federal regulators have authorized Kinder Morgan's Elba Island LNG terminal to introduce hazardous fluids into another liquefaction module, marking a step forward for the facility's optimization project , according to Natural Gas Intel. The added capacity comes as global LNG markets scramble to replace supplies disrupted by the Strait of Hormuz crisis.

What Comes Next

The energy market's trajectory hinges on diplomatic developments. Reports suggested that the US sent a one-page memorandum of understanding through Pakistani intermediaries aimed at formally ending the conflict and paving the way for the gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran is expected to respond within days after confirming it was reviewing the US proposal .

But even if peace breaks out, the damage is done. Even if the U.S. and Iran reach a peace deal, gas prices are likely to remain elevated for months to come, experts predict. Brent crude is likely to trade at about $80 a barrel by year-end, about $10 higher than prior to the war, according to an April estimate from Goldman Sachs. Goldman said that estimate is based on oil supplies in the Persian Gulf normalizing by mid-May, although it noted there are "significant upside risks" to its forecast .

For now, the energy industry is navigating a world where geopolitical risk commands a premium, American shale attracts fresh capital, and every new source of refining capacity—from Oklahoma to Angola—matters more than ever.

Coverage aggregated and synthesized from leading energy-sector publications. See linked sources within the article.

Share this story

Was this article helpful?

Discussion

Not published • Used for Gravatar

0/2000 characters

Loading comments...

ClaimWatch

Mining claims intelligence — from query to report, in minutes.

Every unpatented mining claim across all twelve BLM states. Leadfile audits, due diligence, site selection, regional prospecting, entity investigations, and AOI monitoring — delivered as complete report packages.

4.4M+
Claims Tracked
12
BLM States
7
Report Types
Request a Sample Report
Stake & Paper AM

One morning brief. The whole energy sector.

Original analysis, the day's most important wire stories, and market data — delivered before your first cup of coffee. Free.