Friday, June 5, 2026Vol. III · No. 156Subscribe
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Technology · Analysis

The Memory Makers Hold All the Cards

Nvidia's Jensen Huang is courting Samsung and SK Hynix in Seoul this week—because without their HBM chips, even the world's most powerful GPUs sit idle. The AI hardware race has a new chokepoint.

The Memory Makers Hold All the Cards
PhotographNvidia's Jensen Huang is courting Samsung and SK Hynix in Seoul this week—because without their HBM chips, even the world's most powerful GPUs sit idle. The AI hardware race has a new chokepoint.

Samsung and SK Hynix produce roughly 70% of the world's high-bandwidth memory —the specialized chips that feed data to AI accelerators at speeds conventional DRAM cannot match. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang arrived in Seoul on Friday promising "some surprises" for South Korea , according to Reuters. His four-day visit includes a grilled pork belly dinner with executives from Samsung, SK, Hyundai, and LG, plus a ceremonial first pitch at a baseball game —the kind of charm offensive reserved for partners you cannot afford to lose. Huang has met SK Group Chairman Chey at least three times in 2026 alone , TechTimes reported. The frequency is no accident. HBM is sold out through 2026, with allocations for 2027 already being negotiated , according to industry analysts.

The dynamic is simple: a GPU waiting for data is wasted hardware . And right now, the companies that control whether GPUs wait or work are not in California—they are in South Korea. SK Hynix topped $1 trillion in market value for the first time last month , joining Samsung and Micron in an AI-driven rally that has made memory manufacturers some of the biggest winners of the compute buildout. Huang confirmed at his GTC Taipei keynote on June 1 that Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron all supply HBM4 memory for Nvidia's Vera Rubin platform, sending Korean tech stocks surging—Samsung closed up 10.1% at a record, LG Electronics gained nearly 30% .

Why Is Memory the Bottleneck Now?

As AI model sizes have grown from millions to billions to trillions of parameters and context windows have expanded from thousands of tokens to tens of millions, memory requirements have increased in step , Fortune noted. Nvidia's recently released B300 uses eight HBM chips, each of which is a stack of 12 DRAM dies —96 dies per GPU. A fully configured DGX B300 system with eight GPUs requires 768 DRAM dies just for the HBM modules alone, not counting system memory . Multiply that by the millions of GPUs hyperscalers are deploying, and the scale becomes staggering.

A single silicon wafer provides three times as much commodity DRAM as HBM, and fab processing time for HBM is significantly longer, making the supply problem worse—producing more HBM equates to fewer total memory chips produced . Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron—the three companies that control over 95% of global DRAM production—have systematically reallocated manufacturing capacity toward HBM chips, leaving consumer-grade DRAM and NAND flash in critically short supply , according to IDC. HBM is the most profitable, and the three big players have reallocated capacity toward it at the expense of everything else—servers now account for 60%-70% of memory demand, up from around 30% before the AI boom , analysts at Jefferies reported.

The economics are brutal for anyone not building AI infrastructure. DRAM prices have risen 80 to 90 percent so far this quarter , according to Counterpoint Research. Dell's COO Jeff Clarke said he's "never seen memory-chip costs rise this fast," while HP's CEO stated that memory costs were affecting margin on consumer systems . Memory now accounts for about 20% of the hardware costs of a laptop, up from between 10% and 18% in the first half of 2025 , TrendForce analyst Avril Wu told CNBC.

Can Fabs Catch Up With Demand?

Not quickly. With new fabs costing $15 billion or more, firms are extremely reluctant to expand—and building such a fab and getting it up and running can take 18 months or more, practically ensuring that new capacity arrives well past the initial surge in demand , according to storage expert Thomas Coughlin. The fabs that would meaningfully expand DRAM and NAND supply are not scheduled to come online until 2027 at the earliest, and even then, priority will remain with HBM and enterprise products .

Meanwhile, the capital flowing into AI data centers is accelerating. Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta alone are expected to spend roughly $725 billion combined on AI infrastructure in 2026 . McKinsey estimates global spending on data centers could reach $7 trillion by 2030 . US Census Bureau data shows private data-center construction reached a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $50.7 billion in April 2026, up 28.1% year-on-year —a pace that now exceeds conventional office building construction.

TSMC's 2nm capacity has reached approximately 90,000 to 100,000 wafers per month across its Taiwan facilities, and both plants are completely sold out for the year , according to industry reports. TSMC's 3nm monthly capacity is highly likely to reach the 180,000–200,000 wafer range by the end of 2026 , driven by orders from Nvidia, Apple, Qualcomm, MediaTek, and Intel. TSMC's board approved capital appropriations of approximately $31.3 billion in May, primarily for installation of advanced technology capacity and fab construction, plus a capital injection of not more than $20 billion to TSMC Arizona .

What About the Competition?

AMD's data center revenue surged 34% quarter-over-quarter to $4.3 billion, with operating income up 793% year-over-year, reflecting rapid adoption of MI300 chips , the company reported. The MI400 series, launching in 2026, targets hyperscalers and inference workloads, positioning AMD to capitalize on accelerated computing's projected 42% CAGR through 2029 . Intel's Gaudi 3 AI accelerators, now available through the Dell AI Factory, offer a compelling price-performance proposition, with Intel claiming 70% better inference throughput for Llama 3 80B compared to Nvidia's H100 .

But all three depend on the same memory suppliers. AMD's MI350 GPU uses eight 12-die HBM chips , mirroring Nvidia's architecture. Every AI chip—from Nvidia's H100 to AMD's MI300X to Google's TPUs—depends on HBM . The competition is not for chip design supremacy. It is for allocation from Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron.

Huang's visit to Seoul this week is not ceremonial. KB Securities analyst Jeff Kim framed it bluntly: "Jensen's visit to Korea has a major implication. Nvidia needs Korea" . Samsung and SK Hynix are essentially the only companies on the planet that can produce HBM at the scale Nvidia needs .

The timing is also political. Senator Elizabeth Warren invited Huang to testify before the Senate Banking Committee on June 11 about Nvidia's China business and U.S. export controls , CNBC reported. The hearing would give senators a rare chance to question Huang directly on Nvidia's China strategy, just weeks after he accompanied President Trump to China for a summit with President Xi Jinping . Warren also warned that AI could cause major disruption for workers and called for an excise tax on data centers to help pay for health care, child care, education and job training .

What Changed This Week

Huang confirmed at GTC Taipei that Vera Rubin is now in full production, with Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron named as HBM4 suppliers . First customer shipments are scheduled to begin this summer, with broad availability targeting the second half of 2026 . The announcement clarified what had been months of supply-chain uncertainty and triggered a rally in Korean semiconductor stocks. Separately, Warren's invitation to Huang signals that congressional scrutiny of AI chip exports and data center economics is intensifying—not receding.

What to Watch

Huang's June 11 Senate Banking Committee hearing will test whether Nvidia can satisfy U.S. security concerns without sacrificing access to China, historically one of its largest markets. Before sweeping export controls began in 2023, China accounted for 13-20% of Nvidia's revenue in some periods—successive administrations have restricted sales of high-end GPUs such as the H100, H200, and Blackwell series . Watch for any announcements from Huang's Seoul meetings on expanded HBM supply agreements or robotics partnerships— Huang said robotics is going to be the "next major sector" in South Korea . And monitor DRAM spot prices: if they continue climbing through Q3, consumer electronics makers will face another round of margin compression or price hikes heading into the holiday season.

Coverage aggregated and synthesized from leading energy-sector publications. See linked sources within the article.

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